Showing 1 - 10 of 1,253
Contagion is usually defined as correlation between markets in excess of what would be implied by economic fundamentals; however, there is considerable disagreement regarding the definitions of the fundamentals, how the fundamentals might differ across countries, and the mechanisms that link the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762856
This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127756
individuals, to explain bubbles, crises, and endogenous risk in financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084737
Standard tests find that no bubbles are present in the stock price data for the last one hundred years. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787479
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty … years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble’s build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224874
An iconic model with high leverage and overvalued collateral assets is used to illustrate the amplification mechanism driving asset prices to 'overshoot' equilibrium when an asset bubble bursts--threatening widespread insolvency and what Richard Koo calls a 'balance sheet recession'. Besides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145248
We study crashes using data from 101 global stock markets from 1692 to 2015. Extremely large, annual stock market declines are typically followed by positive returns. This is not true for smaller declines. This pattern does not appear to be driven by institutional frictions, financial crises,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947635
, abound. While the role of investor contagion in asset bubbles has been explored extensively in the theoretical literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997370
environment is conducive to countries experiencing credit bubbles that have large macroeconomic effects at home and are quickly … propagated abroad. In previous work, we built on the theory of rational bubbles to develop a framework to think about the origins … and domestic effects of these credit bubbles. This paper extends that framework to two-country setting and studies the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028542
We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139743