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regional-level mitigation or adaptation, which reduces disaster risks to capital in the interim. Mitigation depends on belief … regarding the adverse consequences of global warming. Pessimism jumps with a disaster and slowly reverts in the absence of … increasing cyclone frequency. For a typical country exposed to cyclones, a disaster arrival not only damages its capital stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311024
on the universe of federal disaster declarations between 1989 and 2014, we document that congress members from districts … the disaster. The response to hurricanes does not seem to be driven by logrolling behavior or lobbysts' pressure. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870719
treatments respond to flood risk. We identify reactions to flood risk, distinctly from price effects due to flood damage, by … seaboard. We find that homes in high flood risk zones situated in towns that participate in public flood awareness activities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867643
between consumption losses in a disaster and the risk premium, a small amount of risk sharing can significantly attenuate the … effect that disaster risk has on the equity premium. We characterize the sensitivity of risk premium to wealth distribution … lead to significant variation in disaster risk premium. It also highlights the conditions under which disaster risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142936
shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
A new options-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the overall stock market when disaster … risk is the dominant force, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the economy has a representative … difference between the power-law tail parameter and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, γ. The options-pricing formula …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001208
a stochastic growth model for 40 vulnerable countries and project welfare effects of climate-driven cyclone risk changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912546
We follow Medicare cohorts to estimate Hurricane Katrina's long-run mortality effects on victims initially living in New Orleans. Including the initial shock, the hurricane improved eight-year survival by 2.07 percentage points. Migration to lower-mortality regions explains most of this survival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914706
A growing literature suggests that stressful events in pregnancy can have negative effects on birth outcomes. Some of the estimates in this literature may be affected by small samples, omitted variables, endogenous mobility in response to disasters, and errors in the measurement of gestation, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106666
pre-disaster trend, and do not recover within twenty years. Both rich and poor countries exhibit this response, with … suppression of annual growth rates spread across the fifteen years following disaster, generating large and significant cumulative … continuous exposure to disaster. Linking these results to projections of future cyclone activity, we estimate that under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049691