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This paper considers the meaning of domestic and international systemic risk. It examines scenarios that have been … adduced as creating systemic risk both within countries and among them. It distinguishes between the concepts of real and … pseudo-systemic risk. We examine the history of episodes commonly viewed either as financial crises or as evidencing systemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763704
, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities---led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150910
markets that had no connection to housing. We find that changes in the "LIB-OIS" spread, a proxy for counterparty risk, was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151390
warming, specifically, long-run temperature shifts. We find that global warming carries a positive risk premium that increases … projected temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984763
towards risk. We find that the uncertainty associated with anthropogenic climate change imply carbon taxes much higher than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088403
The paper illustrates how one may assess our comprehensive uncertainty about the various relations in the entire chain from human activity to climate change. Using a modified version of the RICE model of the global economy and climate, we perform Monte Carlo simulations, where full sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769638
The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first comprehensive study of uncertainty in climate change using multiple integrated assessment models. The study looks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013518
accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966590
Emissions control cannot address the consequences of global warming for weather disasters until decades later. We model regional-level mitigation or adaptation, which reduces disaster risks to capital in the interim. Mitigation depends on belief regarding the adverse consequences of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311024
Climate change is real and dangerous. Exactly how bad it will get, however, is uncertain. Uncertainty is particularly relevant for estimates of one of the key parameters: equilibrium climate sensitivity—how eventual temperatures will react as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations double....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029035