We examine the effect of regime change on privatization using the 2004 election surprise in India. The pro-reform BJP …

Analyses of the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the problem that economic outcomes … exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during Election Day. Analyzing high frequency financial fluctuations … following the release of flawed exit poll data on Election Day 2004, and then during the vote count, we find that markets …

Political future markets, in which investors bet on election outcomes, are often thought a recent invention. Such … back to 16th Century Italy, 18th Century Britain, and 19th Century United States. In the United States, election betting …

election would have been more competitive due to the absence of herding and that alternative sequential structures would have …

after, the election. Changes in vote choice are concomitant to shifts in salient issues and beliefs about candidates, while …

can affect voter turnout and election outcomes. We do so using historical data on more than 2,000 races in Florida and … small effect on turnout. Similarly, we also show under a range of conservative assumptions that very few election results … or critics were true, strict identification laws are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on turnout or election outcomes …