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This paper investigates the hypothesis that surprise changes in the money supply and anticipated inflation (the Mundell … surprises and expected real interest or an inverse relationship between anticipated inflation and expected real interest. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211690
shortening the duration of the crisis and a binding zero bound. Inflation should be front loaded. Fiscal-policy multipliers can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046160
The paper considers three methods for eliminating the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and thus for restoring symmetry to domain over which the central bank can vary its policy rate. They are: (1) abolishing currency (which would also be a useful crime-fighting measure); (2) paying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152378
This paper employs an approximation that makes a nonlinear term structure model extremely tractable for analysis of an economy operating near the zero lower bound for interest rates. We show that such a model offers an excellent description of the data compared to the benchmark model and can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054032
helps explain the well known puzzle that fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785468
macroeconomic series (inflation, output, hours, interest rates, and wages), and which can be used to inform applied monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757855
This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the … episodes and find evidence that inflation and interest rate shocks had particularly strong impacts on market conditions in the … postwar era. Disinflation shocks promoted market booms and inflation shocks contributed to busts. We conclude that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771830
We propose a tractable and coherent framework that captures both conventional and unconventional monetary policies with the shadow fed funds rate. Empirically, we document the shadow rate's resemblance to an overall financial conditions index, various private interest rates, the Fed's balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978529
This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of inflation differentials in a monetary union. First, we aim at … establishingsome stylized facts relating the regional dispersion in headline inflation rates in the euro area as well as in the main … the primary cause of price and inflation differentials, with shocks to productivity in the traded sector being largely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229085
The federal funds rate has been stuck at the zero bound for over two years and the Fed has turned to unconventional monetary policies, such as large scale asset purchases to provide stimulus to the economy. This paper uses a structural VAR with daily data to identify the effects of monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123639