Showing 1 - 10 of 762
Recently there has been a great deal of interest in modeling volatility fluctuations. ARCH models, for example, provide … parsimonious approximations to volatility dynamics. Here we provide a selective amount of certain aspects of conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222332
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784980
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
-diffusions, and models of stochastic volatility. This paper explores the statistical properties of these models with a view to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774952
intraday data and nonparametric volatility measures, along with a new jump detection technique and appropriate conditional … alleviate microstructure frictions for realized volatility estimation. Size and power of the procedure are explored through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777343
Most affine models of the term structure with stochastic volatility (SV) predict that the variance of the short rate is …(3) SV model generates a time series for the variance state variable that is strongly negatively correlated with a GARCH …;unspanned stochastic volatility (USV).quot; Of the models tested, only the A1(4) USV model is found to generate both realistic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783833
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively … correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level … empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783965
heteroskedasticity in their movements. In particular, we estimate a structural-form GARCH' model that includes the short-term interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786621
We create a newspaper-based Equity Market Volatility (EMV) tracker that moves with the VIX and with the realized … volatility of returns on the S&P 500. Parsing the underlying text, we find that 72 percent of EMV articles discuss the … Macroeconomic Outlook, and 44 percent discuss Commodity Markets. Policy news is another major source of volatility: 35 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889473
This paper finds that, concurrent with the rapid growing index investment in commodities markets since early 2000s, futures prices of different commodities in the US became increasingly correlated with each other and this trend was significantly more pronounced for commodities in the two popular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137731