We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment …. Step 1: estimate individual transition hazards across employment, temporary layoff, permanent layoff, quitter, entrant, and … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of …

employment and labor force participation for women, who are typically less affected by recessions than men. We examine real time … data on employment, unemployment, labor force participation and gross job flows to document the gendered impact of the … the recovery of employment for the worst hit service occupations …

the employment outcomes of older workers in the United States. We start by discussing what we know about how older workers … effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and recession on employment and unemployment rates by age group and sex using Current … Population Survey data. We calculate employment and unemployment rates multiple ways to account for the complicated employment …

show how lowering the cost of serving public debt has been associated with higher real output growth …

assets. This has immediate effects on output and factor demands because collapsing collateral values cut access to working …

Emerging economies are characterized by an extremely high prevalence of informality, small-firm employment and jobs not …. Applying our framework to data for Colombia, which exhibits an employment distribution similar to that of other emerging market …. Because informal jobs and those not fit for telework are at higher risk, this number goes down to 33% if the US employment …