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regions, coupled with increased expenditure demands, led to substantial state budget deficits. State fiscal institutions, such … of fiscal adjustment to unexpected deficits. Political factors are also important. When a single party controls the state … house and the governorship, the reaction to state deficits is much faster than when party control is divided. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223333
deficits in the state's general fund. Balanced budget limitations may be either prospective or beginning … is saved in a state `rainy day' fund in anticipation of future general fund deficits. In contrast, prospective … constraints `force' deficits into other fiscal accounts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247195
By discussing the available theoretical and empirical literature, this paper argues that budget procedures and budget institutions do influence budget outcomes. Budget institutions include both procedural rules and balanced budget laws. We critically assess theoretical contributions in this area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243376
Single-equation estimates of fiscal reaction functions, which relate primary surpluses to past debt-GDP ratios and control variables, are subject to potentially serious simultaneity bias that can produce misleading inferences about fiscal behavior. Biases arise from failure to model the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982534
This paper provides evidence on the behavior of public debt managers during fiscal" stabilizations in OECD countries over the last two decades. We find that debt maturity tends to" lengthen the more credible the program, the lower the long-term interest rate and the higher the" volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210679
sustainability. Disclosure of nontraditional debt would imply significant welfare gains for the recipient countries but would reduce … its sustainability. We discuss the implications of nontraditional lending on standard assumptions of sovereign debt models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861729
fiscal deficits emerge. This suggests that changing the federal budget process has the potential to affect federal fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313653
The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal consolidations whose timing and composition are uncertain. Drawing on the evidence in Alesina and Ardagna (2010), we emphasize whether or not the fiscal consolidation is driven by tax rises or expenditure cuts. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110470
We study optimal fiscal and redistributive policies in an open economy without commitment. Due to its redistributive motives, the government's incentive to default on its external debt is affected by inequality. We show that in equilibrium the economy endogenously fluctuates between two regimes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999981
What determines the sustainability of sovereign debt? We develop a model where myopic governments seek popularity but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119044