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A group of agents disagree about the appropriate inter temporal preferences to use when exploiting a common productive resource. They thus delegate decision making to a social planner who allocates consumption efficiently across heterogeneous individuals and over time. We define `policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082765
, which can account for many of the known intertemporal choice anomalies, to discounting models. We conduct an out …-of-sample, cross-validated comparison of intertemporal choice models. Heuristic models outperform traditional utility discounting … models, including models of exponential and hyperbolic discounting. The best performing models predict choices by using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028066
) conditional choice probability (CCP) approach to the setting where individuals may have hyperbolic discounting time preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137310
Recent work on collective intertemporal choice suggests that non-dictatorial social preferences are generically time inconsistent. We argue that this claim conflates time consistency with two distinct properties of preferences: stationarity and time invariance. While the conjunction of time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984768
hyperbolic discounting. We also provide novel results for this case, offering a complete and simple characterization of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998411
Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility provides a simple, coherent structure for analyzing decisions in intertemporal, uncertain environments. However, we document robust violations of discounted expected utility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138320
discounting. A commonly recognized bias of standard elicitation techniques is the use of linear preferences for identification … utility function curvature. We present a new methodology for identifying time preferences, both discounting and utility … obtained, dynamically consistent discounting, and limited though significant utility function curvature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138321
thereafter, which is inconsistent with exponential discounting but consistent with hyperbolic discounting. The implied marginal … rate of time preference declines and then rises. Estimates of the quasi-hyperbolic discounting parameter range from 0.48 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247670
ability and workers' inter-temporal preferences (discounting). We apply this test to the large observed differences in wages … and wage growth rates between smokers and non-smokers. The evidence supports the discounting hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215374
Discount rate variation is the central organizing question of current asset pricing research. I survey facts, theories and applications. We thought returns were uncorrelated over time, so variation in price-dividend ratios was due to variation in expected cashflows. Now it seems all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126211