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A group of agents disagree about the appropriate inter temporal preferences to use when exploiting a common productive resource. They thus delegate decision making to a social planner who allocates consumption efficiently across heterogeneous individuals and over time. We define `policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082765
, which can account for many of the known intertemporal choice anomalies, to discounting models. We conduct an out …-of-sample, cross-validated comparison of intertemporal choice models. Heuristic models outperform traditional utility discounting … models, including models of exponential and hyperbolic discounting. The best performing models predict choices by using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028066
) conditional choice probability (CCP) approach to the setting where individuals may have hyperbolic discounting time preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137310
hyperbolic discounting. We also provide novel results for this case, offering a complete and simple characterization of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998411
Recent work on collective intertemporal choice suggests that non-dictatorial social preferences are generically time inconsistent. We argue that this claim conflates time consistency with two distinct properties of preferences: stationarity and time invariance. While the conjunction of time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984768
We estimate discount rates of 555 subjects using a laboratory task and find that these individual discount rates predict inter-individual variation in field behaviors (e.g., exercise, BMI, smoking). The correlation between the discount rate and each field behavior is small: none exceeds 0.28 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758495
Discount rate variation is the central organizing question of current asset pricing research. I survey facts, theories and applications. We thought returns were uncorrelated over time, so variation in price-dividend ratios was due to variation in expected cashflows. Now it seems all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126211
Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility provides a simple, coherent structure for analyzing decisions in intertemporal, uncertain environments. However, we document robust violations of discounted expected utility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138320
discounting. A commonly recognized bias of standard elicitation techniques is the use of linear preferences for identification … utility function curvature. We present a new methodology for identifying time preferences, both discounting and utility … obtained, dynamically consistent discounting, and limited though significant utility function curvature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138321
can be distinguished from an exponential economy. First, hyperbolic discounting predicts the empirical regularity that the …, hyperbolic discounting explains many features of the policy debate about undersaving. The calibrated hyperbolic economy matches …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313326