This paper is a theoretical study into how credit constraints interact with aggregate economic activity over the … not only factors of production, but they also serve as collateral for loans. Borrowers' credit limits are affected by the … prices of the collateralized assets. And at the same time, these prices are affected by the size of the credit limits. The …

A growing literature shows that credit indicators forecast aggregate real outcomes. While researchers have proposed … simple, frictionless, model explains empirical findings commonly attributed to credit cycles. Our key assumption is that … firms have heterogeneous exposures to underlying economy-wide shocks. This leads to endogenous dispersion in credit quality …

Standard economic theory says that unsecured, high-interest, short-term debt — such as borrowing via credit cards and … income shock of unemployment. Instead, individuals smooth their credit card debt and overdrafts by adjusting consumption. We … first use detailed longitudinal information on debit and credit card transactions, account balances, and credit lines from a …

The market for corporate credit is characterized by significant seasonal variation, both in interest rates and the …

We study a dynamic economy where credit is limited by insufficient collateral and, as a result, investment and output … are too low. In this environment, changes in investor sentiment or market expectations can give rise to credit bubbles …, that is, expansions in credit that are backed not by expectations of future profits (i.e. fundamental collateral), but …

-constrained investors to take excessive risks. Ignored are unconstrained investors speculating on higher prices during credit booms. To … a bank/brokerage-credit-fueled stock-market bubble. The direct effect is a 25 cent increase in a stock's market …

This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model that is intended to help clarify the role of credit market … developments in credit markets work to amplify and propagate shocks to the macroeconomy. In addition, we add several features to … allows us to study how credit market frictions may influence the transmission of monetary policy. In addition, we allow for …

We present a model of credit cycles arising from diagnostic expectations – a belief formation mechanism based on … nest rational expectations as a special case. In our model of credit cycles, credit spreads are excessively volatile, over …-react to news, and are subject to predictable reversals. These dynamics can account for several features of credit cycles and …

Credit booms are not rare and usually precede financial crises. However, some end in a crisis (bad booms) while others … do not (good booms). We document that credit booms start with an increase in productivity, which subsequently falls much … faster during bad booms. We develop a model in which crises happen when credit markets change to an information regime with …