Showing 1 - 10 of 8,479
This paper revises pre-World War II current account data for thirteen countries by treating gold flows on a consistent basis. The standard historical data sources often fail to distinguish between monetary gold exports, which are capital-account credits, and nonmonetary gold exports, which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243431
We study the evolution of the U.S. current account in a two-country dynamic stochastic endowment model in which a single non-state contingent bond is the only internationally traded asset. The paper focuses on the world `saving glut' as the primary cause of continual deterioration in the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759722
savings rate on the investment rate, as performed in the literature, are shown to be incorrect tests of the hypothesis of … current account and savings equations. Empirical tests of the model for a sample of 18 OECD countries present good evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249373
Faced with income fluctuations, countries smooth their consumption by raising savings when income is high, and vice … versa. How much of these savings do countries invest at home and abroad? In other words, what are the effects of … fluctuations in savings on domestic investment and the current account? In the long run, we find that countries invest the marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243615
savings (“excess savings”) and a small but persistent current account deficit (a slow-motion “twin deficit”). These patterns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081636
current account imbalances and possibly to the recent global financial crisis. This paper proposes a theory of excess savings …Large savings and current account surpluses by China and other countries are said to be a contributor to the global … show conditions under which an intensified competition in the marriage market can induce men to raise their savings rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143187
particular? Britain placed half of her annual savings abroad during those seven years, and 76 percent of it went to the New World … countries of Canada, Australia, the USA, Argentina and the rest of Latin America. The resource abundant New World was endowed … analysis shows that these dependency burdens served to choke off domestic savings in the New World, thus creating an external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217243
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output–the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030068
dynamics are documented here to be specific to the U.S. and Canada. In other developed economies residential investment is … mortgages and interest rate dynamics aligns the theory more closely with U.S. observations. Longer time to build in housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099826
that the represenative consumer changes savings in response to temporary deviations of income from its stochastic trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225022