Showing 1 - 10 of 2,471
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045650
We estimate the impact of COVID-19 on business failures for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) using firm-level data in seventeen countries. Absent government support, the failure rate of SMEs would have increased by 9.1 percentage points, representing 4.6 percent of private sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244116
Is the pricing of sovereign risk linear during bearish episodes? Or can initial shocks on economic fundamentals be exacerbated by endogenous factors that create nonlinearities? We test for nonlinearities in the sovereign bond market of European peripheral countries during the debt crisis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056598
We estimate peer effects for fourth graders in six European countries. The identification relies on variation across classes within schools. We argue that classes within primary schools are formed roughly randomly with respect to family background. Similar to previous studies, we find sizeable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233466
Using original data from two waves of a survey conducted in March and April 2020 in eight OECD countries (N = 21,649), we show that women are more likely to see COVID-19 as a very serious health problem, to agree with restraining public policy measures adopted in response to it, and to comply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831280
process in Greece, Spain, Ireland, and Portugal and, by way of contrast, in Germany, a country that did experience a reform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084731
(analogous to Germany today).However Bretton Woods is very different from the Eurozone in many dimensions. An even better analogy …An analogy has been made between the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971 and the recent Eurozone crisis. The … liabilities) and Germany (a surplus country) with large claims is seen as similar to the rising and persistent balance of payments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051313
stock returns. Monetary policy has a larger impact on consumption in Italy and Spain compared to France and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910644
Pay-as-you-go Social Security is typically characterized as a universal defined benefit pension program. Implicit in this characterization is a sense that the participant%u2019s investment in future benefits is somehow guaranteed, or safe from risk. This study develops the concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761674
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621