groups and causes in the ratio of actual-to-baseline deaths, and in the contribution of COVID-19 to excess mortality. Prior … research has frequently underestimated baseline deaths and so has overstated excess mortality and the percentage of it …

response and mortality outcomes should be better than in 1918-20. We ask whether mortality from historical pandemics has any … predictive content for mortality in the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. We find a strong persistence in public health performance in … the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. Places that performed poorly in terms of mortality in 1918 were more likely to …

What would a hypothetical one million US deaths in the Covid-19 epidemic mean for mortality of individuals at the … population level? To put estimates of Covid-19 mortality into perspective, we estimate age-specific mortality for an epidemic … can be valued at six to 10 trillion dollars. The age-patterns of Covid-19 mortality observed in other countries are …

that are not tested under current guidelines), is not well estimated in the literature because tests for the coronavirus …

Mortality and economic contraction during the 1918-1920 Great Influenza Pandemic provide plausible upper bounds for … outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 48 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 40 million, 2 …

mortality, fertility, and the economy in the short and medium run. The role of nonpharmaceutical interventions in shaping those …

misinforming audiences. We study the extent to which misinformation broadcast on mass media at the early stages of the coronavirus …

This note seeks the socioeconomic roots of racial disparities in COVID-19 mortality, using county-level mortality …