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closely with a depreciating yen, suggesting the countries' emphasis on export promotion. The Singapore dollar, on the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246656
This paper analyzes the macroeconomic adjustment from the crisis in East Asia in a broad international prospective. The stylized pattern from the previous 160 currency crisis episodes over the period from 1970 to 1995 shows a V-type adjustment of real GDP growth in the years prior to and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227193
Following its opening to trade and foreign investment in the mid-1980s, Mexico's economic growth has been modest at best, particularly in comparison with that of China. Comparing these countries and reviewing the literature, we conclude that the relation between openness and growth is not a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135399
A general equilibrium model featuring multiple realistic sources of financial frictions is developed to study how different constraints interact in equilibrium. We highlight, distinguish, and evaluate their differential impacts and rich interactions. The economic impact of financial inclusion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030631
We estimate local fiscal multipliers and spillovers for the United States using a rich dataset based on U.S. Department of Defense contracts and a variety of outcome variables relating to income and employment. We find strong positive spillovers across locations and industries. Both backward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894441
using a natural experiment in India as well as data from China, Indonesia, the Philippines, South Africa, and Kenya …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230605
The global financial crisis has permanently lowered the path of GDP in all advanced economies. At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of these countries have been engaging in fiscal consolidations that have had a negative impact on growth rates. We empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987599
taught us about such diverse subjects as the validity of the Permanent Income Hypothesis, the size of the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021490
This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087059
. With allowance for other factors holding back GDP growth during those wars, the multiplier linking government purchases to … as well. On the other hand, neoclassical models have a much lower multiplier, because they predict that consumption falls … when purchases rise. The key features of a model that delivers a higher multiplier are (1) the decline in the markup ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154570