for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i …

collapse of the Bretton Woods system between 1971 and 1973 was rising U.S. inflation since 1965. It was driven in turn by … imports and a ninety day wage price freeze—was that U.S. inflation, driven by macro policies, was the main problem facing the … Federal Reserve Chairman Arthur F. Burns, Nixon adopted wage and price controls to mask the inflation, hence punting the …

I investigate the effects of an increase in the nominal interest rate on inflation and output in the United States and …, nominal interest-rate increases that are perceived to be permanent cause a temporary decline in real rates with inflation … adjusting faster than the nominal interest rate to a higher permanent level. Estimated impulse responses show that inflation …

We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …

Forecasts of the rate of price inflation play a central role in the formulation of monetary policy, and forecasting … inflation is a key job for economists at the Federal Reserve Board. This paper examines whether this job has become harder and …, to the extent that it has, what changes in the inflation process have made it so. The main finding is that the univariate …

norms. At those moments governments turned to the printing press. The result was substantial inflation …

A key policy question is: How high an inflation rate should central banks target? This depends crucially on the costs … of inflation. An important concern is that high inflation will lead to inefficient price dispersion. Workhorse New … Keynesian models imply that this cost of inflation is very large. An increase in steady state inflation from 0% to 10% yields a …

matters for stabilization policy is the rate of inflation, not the rate of wage change. This paper provides new estimates of … result in the paper is that wage changes do not contribute statistically to the explanation of inflation. Deviations in the … growth of labor cost from the path of inflation cause changes in labor's income share, and changes in the profit share in the …

The contrast between the early nineteenth century Argentinean experience of high inflation and the American experience … of low inflation is interpreted in terms of a dynamic monetary model of optimal taxation. It is argued that the two … the inflation tax may be viewed as an optimal solution to its wartime problems. By contrast, with the exception of the …