uncertainty over climate change and its impact, why there is so much uncertainty, and why we will continue to face uncertainty in … the near future. I also explain the policy implications of climate change uncertainty. First, the uncertainty … stronger actions to reduce CO2 emissions. Second, uncertainty interacts with two kinds of irreversibilities. First, CO2 remains …

The paper illustrates how one may assess our comprehensive uncertainty about the various relations in the entire chain ….5 deg;C. The 99 percent confidence interval ranges from 3.0 deg;C to 6.9 deg;C. Uncertainty about socio-economic drivers of … climate change lie behind a non-trivial part of this uncertainty about global warming …

was 1-3 degrees Fahrenheit. In addition, people with higher risk estimates, whether for temperature or related risks (e …, significant behavioral propensities also emerged. For example, accessibility of neutral information on global warming boosted risk …

offer a series of testable hypotheses concerning the economic incidence of spatially tied climate change risk …

The selection of climate policies should be an exercise in risk management reflecting the many relevant sources of … uncertainty. Studies of climate change and its impacts rarely yield consensus on the distribution of exposure, vulnerability, or … stakeholders differ in their degree of risk tolerance. This broader risk management approach enables one to examine a range of …

Economic evaluation of climate policy traditionally treats uncertainty by appealing to expected utility theory. Yet our …