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geopolitical factors. Using data on foreign reserves of 19 countries before World War I, for which the currency composition of … hypothetical scenario where the U.S. withdraws from the world, our estimates suggest that long-term U.S. interest rates could rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940799
While many political scientists and diplomatic historians see the Bush presidency as a distinctive epoch in American foreign policy, we argue that there was no Bush Doctrine in foreign economic policy. The Bush administration sought to advance a free trade agenda but could not avoid the use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772458
We estimate the impact of coups and top-secret coup authorizations on asset prices of partially nationalized multinational companies that stood to benefit from US-backed coups. Stock returns of highly exposed firms reacted to coup authorizations classified as top-secret. The average cumulative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127017
As communication costs fall, foreign embassies and consulates have lost much of their role in decision-making and information-gathering. Accordingly, foreign services are increasingly marketing themselves as agents of export promotion. I investigate whether exports are in fact systematically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228648
Although many modern studies find large and significant effects of prior colonial status on bilateral trade, there is very little empirical research that has focused on the contemporaneous impact of empire on trade. We employ a new database of over 21,000 bilateral trade observations during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759567
The purpose of this paper is to describe United States trade policy since World War II, and to assess the possibility … for ongoing U.S.trade-policy leadership. U.S. trade policy has shown remarkable consistency since World War II. It has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760346
a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy encompassing four regional blocs. Simulation exercises are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760524
Several of the recently negotiated regional trade agreements (Canada-U.S., NAFTA, E.C.-Hungary/Poland/Czeck and Slovak Republics) contain significantly fewer concessions by the large countries to smaller countries than vice versa. Yet, it is small countries that have sought them and see...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763469
innovation endogenously determines the dynamics of technology, and, therefore, market leadership and trade flows, in a world with … of openness on innovation incentives and productivity growth. Finally, our model predicts that a more globalized world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920880
Using monthly data on temporary trade barriers (TTBs), we estimate the dynamic employment effects of protectionism through vertical production linkages. First, exploiting procedural details of TTBs and high-frequency data, we identify movements in protectionism exogenous to economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094799