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disparate traditions. I make the case for unity between Post-Keynesian and General Equilibrium Theory under the banner of Post …-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964394
A modest approximation by homebuyers leads house prices to display three features that are present in the data but usually missing from perfectly rational models: momentum at one-year horizons, mean reversion at five-year horizons, and excess longer-term volatility relative to fundamentals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025785
debt is equivalent to the allocations that are sustained with unbacked public debt or rational bubbles; for the latter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760614
. The latter is more likely if bubbles develop along the expansionary path. These (rational) bubbles can emerge even when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762624
not valid in general: as soon as bubbles affect interest rates, the fundamental value of a stock depends on whether or not …-bubble price. Under conditions made precise below, there can therefore be price decreasing bubbles, and an asset can be quot;undervalued.quot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763028
There has been a long-running debate about whether stock market prices are determined by fundamentals. To date no consensus has been reached. An important issue in this debate concerns the circumstances in which deviations from fundamentals are consistent with rational behavior. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763474
The paper presents new empirical results that elucidate the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half of the paper is an updated study of the exchange rate expectations held by market participants, as reflected in responses to surveys, and contains the following conclusions. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763525
This paper presents evidence on attitude changes among investors in the US stock market. Two basic attitudes are explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for US stock market institutional investors based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763808
type of rational bubble that depends exclusively on dividends. We call such bubbles quot;intrinsicquot; bubbles because … most popular examples of rational bubbles, intrinsic bubbles provide an empirically plausible account of deviations from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767840
propagated abroad. In previous work, we built on the theory of rational bubbles to develop a framework to think about the origins … environment is conducive to countries experiencing credit bubbles that have large macroeconomic effects at home and are quickly … and domestic effects of these credit bubbles. This paper extends that framework to two-country setting and studies the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028542