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A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the large unemployment dynamics in the Great Depression. The limited response of wages to labor market … conditions from credible bargaining and the congestion externality from matching frictions cause the unemployment rate to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079211
This paper analyses job seekers' perceptions and their relationship to unemployment outcomes to study heterogeneity and …, accounting for most of the observed decline in job finding rates over the spell of unemployment. We also find that job seekers … calibrated model of job search how these biased beliefs contribute to the slow exit out of unemployment and can explain more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907446
In this paper, we estimate matching functions using disaggregate data. We find strong support for the matching approach, with most specifications implying slightly increasing returns to scale. This finding does not appear to arise from our inclusion of additional controls or from the level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244376
forces. A new private sector quickly emerged and has taken hold. Unemployment, which did not exist, is high and still … increasing. Will this process of transition accelerate, or slow down? Will unemployment keep increasing? Can things go wrong and … as important. The first is the interactions between unemployment and the decisions of both state and private firms. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089271
unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We use this framework to measure the contribution of mismatch to the … recent rise in U.S. unemployment by exploiting two sources of cross-sectional data on vacancies, JOLTS and HWOL, a new …/3 of the total observed increase in the unemployment rate, whereas geographical mismatch plays no apparent role. The share …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102714
sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051310
accessibility to appropriate jobs should shorten the duration of unemployment. We focus on lower-income workers with strong labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054875
We develop a dynamic model of transitions in and out of employment. A worker finds a job at an optimal stopping time, when a Brownian motion with drift hits a barrier. This implies that the duration of each worker's jobless spells has an inverse Gaussian distribution. We allow for arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993840
equivalent workers fall sharply as unemployment duration progresses. We use the model to quantitatively assess the consequences … of such employer behavior for job finding rates and long term unemployment and find only modest effects given the large … dependence and long term unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930343
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505