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The paper studies the effect of the market's perceived exchange rate volatility on bid-ask spreads. The anticipated … volatility is extracted from currency options data. An increase in the perceived volatility is found to widen bid-ask spreads … estimate of the effect of the volatility on the spreads. Although the spread-volatility relation implied by the option model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788531
Market impacts of Japanese macroeconomic announcements within minutes on the dollar/yen foreign exchange are analyzed …-term business survey conducted by Bank of Japan), GDP, industrial production (preliminary), PPI, CPI (Tokyo area), the unemployment … components have return impacts also have impacts on deals and volatility. The announcement itself, in addition to the magnitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152611
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774886
We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding subsequent spot rate movements. Using weekly dollar-mark and dollar sterling data, we find that spot and forward exchange rates together are well represented by a vector error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763403
This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. We first argue that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763699
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
The presence of foreign multinational enterprises may benefit local economies. In particular, highly productive foreign-owned firms may promote technological catch-up of local firms. Such channel of spillovers is defined as "Veblen-Geschenkron" effect of Foreign Direct Investments and is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324631
but it was neither constant nor stable over subsamples and that its volatility was considerably reduced after October 1982 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774551
The stochastic process for earnings is the key element of incomplete markets models in modern quantitative macroeconomics. We show that a simple modification of the canonical process used in the literature leads to a dramatic improvement in the measurement of earnings dynamics in administrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977281
We present an econometric method for estimating the parameters of a diffusion model from discretely sampled data. The estimator is transparent, adaptive, and inherits the asymptotic properties of the generally unattainable maximum likelihood estimator. We use this method to estimate a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235636