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-averse countries, notably China, which thereby shed corresponding amounts of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993244
A wide range of empirical applications rely on linear approximations to dynamic Euler equations. Among the most notable of these is the large and growing literature on precautionary saving that examines how consumption growth and saving behavior are affected by uncertainty and prudence. Linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245738
traditional culprits of increasing savings supply and technological growth slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907462
Using an uneven panel of 135 countries from 1995 to 2014, we investigate the link between interest rates and private saving, and focus on whether the interest rate effect is dominated by the income (i.e., negative) or the substitution (i.e., positive) effect. With the baseline estimation, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978514
critical for understanding the relationship between aggregate fertility and household savings. First, we document that parents … household savings. Then, we construct an OLG model that parametrically matches the PE empirical evidence. Finally, we extend the … aggregate fertility on household savings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053493
Deleveraging from high debt can provoke deep recession with significant international side effects. The exchange rate of the deleveraging country will depreciate in the short run and appreciate in the long run. The real interest rate will fall by more than in the rest of the world. Bounds and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108269
Social Security benefits may be commenced at any time between ages 62 and 70. As individuals who claim later can, on average, expect to receive benefits for a shorter period, an actuarial adjustment is made to the monthly benefit to reflect the age at which benefits are claimed. In earlier work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090660
This paper estimates expected future real interest rates and inflation rates from observed prices of UK government nominal and index-linked bonds. The estimation method takes account of imperfections in the indexation of UK index-linked bonds. It assumes that expected log returns on all bonds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774964
Several recent studies find that ex ante real returns for short-term U.S. Treasury securities are negatively correlated both with inflation and with nominal interest rates. This paper examines whether these findings extend to the short-term holding return on publicly and privately issued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760341
We propose a tractable and coherent framework that captures both conventional and unconventional monetary policies with the shadow fed funds rate. Empirically, we document the shadow rate's resemblance to an overall financial conditions index, various private interest rates, the Fed's balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978529