Showing 1 - 10 of 6,320
This paper analyzes the possibility and the consequences of rational bubbles in a dy- namic economy where financially … (scarce). We analyze extensions with firm heterogeneity and sto- chastic bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130781
and Porter (1981) and Shiller (1981a). It appears that neither small sample bias, rational bubbles nor some standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141042
We provide a model for why high beta assets are more prone to speculative overpricing than low beta ones. When investors disagree about the common factor of cash-flows, high beta assets are more sensitive to this macro-disagreement and experience a greater divergence-of-opinion about their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097774
, including influential studies identifying price bubbles in periods of high volatility. Here we consider a model of the market … empirical tests of price behavior. In this model commodity price is equal to marginal consumption value, and hence bubbles as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082152
individuals, to explain bubbles, crises, and endogenous risk in financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084737
I examine the impact of alternative monetary policy rules on a rational asset price bubble, through the lens of an overlapping generations model with nominal rigidities. A systematic increase in interest rates in response to a growing bubble is shown to enhance the fluctuations in the latter,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086674
. The theory predicts that asset prices carry a speculative premium that reflects the asset's marketability and depends on … anomalous. The theory also exhibits rational expectations equilibria with recurring belief driven events that resemble liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015987
This paper reports empirical tests for the existence of rational bubbles in stock prices. The analysis focuses on a … extraneous variables. The tests are based on the theoretical result that, if rational bubbles exist, time series obtained by …. Applications of the time domain tests to simulated nonstationary time series that would be implied by rational bubbles indicates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774692
economically interesting, i.e., forward looking, any rational bubbles would be either explosive or implosive. Further arguments … the value of fiat money. These arguments rule out both positive and negative rational bubbles, except for the poissibility … of rational inflationary bubbles.This paper extends the theoretical analysis of rational bubbles in two ways. First, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774698
There is a large and growing empirical literature that tests forthe existence of asset-price bubbles or quot …;sunspotquot; equilibria -- equilibria unrelated to market fundamentals. Our view is that even tests for non-stationary asset-price bubbles … ruling out nonstationary speculative price bubbles in models based on individual maximizing behavior. In the first part of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774699