Showing 1 - 10 of 456
America's local governments spend about one-eighth of our national income, one-fourth of total government spending, and employ over 14 million people. This paper surveys the large and growing economics literature on local governments and their finances. A primary difference between local and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103516
The current paper presents a method of deciding the question of whether any given stage in the budget process is an example of the "political" or the "bureaucratic" model. We then use it to study local government spending on education. The basis for our method is the important difference between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218123
China's four-trillion-yuan stimulus package fueled by bank loans in 2009 has led to the rapid growth of shadow banking activities after 2012. Local governments financed the stimulus through bank loans in 2009, and resorted to non-bank debt financing after 2012 given the rollover pressure from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951359
Does minority representation in a legislative body differentially impact outcomes for minorities? To examine this question, we study close elections for California city council seats between white and nonwhite candidates. We find that nonwhite candidates generate differential gains in housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908828
We use dynamic panel data models to generate density forecasts for daily Covid-19 infections for a panel of countries/regions. At the core of our model is a specification that assumes that the growth rate of active infections can be represented by autoregressive fluctuations around a downward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833111
We study the role of global supply chains in the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on GDP growth for 64 countries. We discipline the labor supply shock across sectors and countries using the fraction of work in the sector that can be done from home, interacted with the stringency with which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833120
epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
We use micro data on earnings together with the details of each state's unemployment insurance (UI) system to compute the distribution of UI benefits after the uniform $600 Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC) supplement implemented by the CARES Act. We find that between April and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833125
We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for emerging markets using a SIR-multisector-small open economy model and calibrating it to Turkey. Domestic infection rates feed into both sectoral supply and sectoral demand shocks. Sectoral demand shocks also incorporate lower external demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833730
path during such outbreaks. When the epidemic is more infectious and fatal, the Bayesian-optimal sample size in the … and the regulatory approval process to the specific parameters and stage of the epidemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833747