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This paper is a review of rational expectations models used in macroeconomic research. The purpose is to examine in some detail the differences between the models, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative models the empirical support for the models and their policy implications. The main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778809
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759756
with economic theory and hence rises andquot; falls with theory, receded following the decline of Keynesian theory. In … recent years powerful new dynamic stochastic general equilibrium theory has been developed macroeconomic forecasting is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763631
In 1944 Franco Modigliani published a famous article summarizing the Keynesian model; in 1963 he extended the 1944 framework. This paper,written for a conference in honor of Modigliani, asks how the earlier papers would be modified in the light of recent developments in macroeconomics. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225843
An otherwise conventional Keynesian macro model is modified to include inventories of final goods by (1) drawing a distinction between production and final sales, and (2) allowing for a negative effect of the level of inventories on production. Two models are presented: one in which the labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235314
The recent literature on rational expectations in macroeconomic theory is surveyed here with the objective of … expectations. The paper begins with a brief discussion of the theory of martingales as it has been applied to microeconomic theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210535
Using a small empirical model of inflation, output, and money estimated on U.S. data, we compare the relative performance of monetary targeting and inflation targeting. The results show that monetary targeting would be quite inefficient, with both higher inflation and output variability. This is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137167
The recent debt crises in Europe and the U.S. states feature similar sharp increases in spreads on government debt but also show important differences. In Europe, the crisis occurred at high government indebtedness levels and had spillovers to the private sector. In the United States, state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017501
Are there systematic forces such that countries of different sizes participating in a free trade bloc gain differently from the entry of new members? If economies of scale imply that firms located in large countries enjoy lower costs, then the gains from enlarging the bloc will fall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214599
In a previous analysis of the West African Monetary Union, Macedo(1985a), size is taken to be a major structural characteristic of a country in the sense that large countries are not affected by disturbances originating in small countries but small countries are affected by large countries'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310594