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An independent central bank can manage its balance sheet and its capital so as to commit itself to a depreciation of its currency and an exchange-rate peg. This way, the central bank can implement the optimal escape from a liquidity trap, which involves a commitment to higher future inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213439
Modern theory has delivered both the conservative central banker and the principal-agent approaches as rationales for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229829
credibility). We then use panel VARs based on both factor models and observed data to ascertain the impact of global shocks …, financial shocks, trade shocks and credibility shocks on the EMEs versus the AEs.We find that although some EMEs did maintain … resilience to shocks and in the quality of their governance. Moreover it appears that CB credibility in EMEs was more fragile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861733
governors suffer from a generic credibility problem. Federal Reserve chairman appointments stand out in terms of their unusually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760094
The perceptions of a central bank's inflation aversion may reflect institutional structure or, more dynamically, the history of its policy decisions. In this paper, we present a novel empirical framework that uses high frequency data to test for persistent variation in market perceptions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761892
A new measure of credibility is constructed as a function of the differential between observed inflation and some … estimate of the inflation rate that the central bank targets. The target is assumed to be met flexibly. Credibility is … credibility and central banks with strong institutional feaures tend to do better when hit by a shock of the magnitude of the 2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011938
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics … for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a … pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold standard before 1914 before being lost and not fully regained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621
Central bank credibility plays a pivotal role in much of the modern literature on monetary policy, yet it is difficult … important issues: why credibility matters, and how credibility can be built. The central bankers' answers are compared with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218090
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220387
In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives … their role in influencing the credibility of the monetary authority. We focus on measures of inflation expectations, the … credibility is particularly vulnerable during financial crises, whether its evolution is a function of the type of crisis or its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030622