sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …

poor labor market to a better labor market. We find that modifications raise the unemployment rate by about 0.5 percentage … individuals losing skills as unemployment duration is longer …

The Great Recession tested the ability of the "great U.S. jobs machine" to limit the severity of unemployment in a … live up to expectations. The level and duration of unemployment increased substantially in the downturn and the growth of …

record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a … modest increase in unemployment. Despite these forces, we conclude that the problems facing the U.S. labor market are …

in 2010 that is not matched by declines in happiness measures (positive affect). The fear of unemployment obtained from …

movements in GDP, unemployment, vacancies, and wages in the period from 2007 until 2011. We show that contractionary financial … important in the U.K. and Sweden than in the U.S., but matching efficiency improved in Germany, helping to keep unemployment low …. A counterfactual experiment suggests that unemployment in Germany would have been substantially higher if the German …

which the labor market is now only slowly recovering. The unemployment rate remains stubbornly high and durations of … unemployment are unprecedentedly long. I use data from the Displaced Workers Survey (DWS) from 1984-2010 to investigate the …

One of the strongest trends in recent macroeconomic modeling of labor market fluctuations is to treat unemployment … of Unemployment,quot; i.e., the extent to which increased unemployment during a recession arises from an increase in the … number of unemployment spells versus an increase in their duration. After broadly reviewing the previous literature, we …

We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment … history. Step 2: relate the aggregate components to the overall unemployment rate using a factor model. Step 3: combine the … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of …