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When a sovereign faces the risk of debt default, it may be tempted to expropriate the private sector. This may be one … reason for why international investment in private companies has to take into account the sovereign risk. But the likelihood … of a transfer from the sovereign risk to corporate default risks may be mitigated by legal institutions that provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054883
MBS earn risk premia as compensation for their exposure to prepayment risk. We measure prepayment risk and estimate … security risk loadings using real data on prepayment forecasts vs. realizations. Estimated loadings are monotonic in securities … investors. In particular, we find convincing evidence that prepayment risk prices change sign over time with the sign of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978841
default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008 … importance of economic fundamentals in the pricing of sovereign risk varies over time. The key factors are trade openness and … in pricing sovereign risk prior to the crisis, but internal factors associated with the capacity to adjust to adverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083389
As trade agreements have evolved and gone beyond import tariffs and quotas into regulatory rules and harmonization, they have become more difficult to fit into received economic theory. Nevertheless, most economists continue to regard trade agreements such as the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927013
risk-reduction benefits and lower costs of debt. This is especially true for CoCos that: i) convert into equity, ii) have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943619
Using variation in minimum wages across cities and controlling for differences in business-cycle factors and long-run local economic trends, we find that following minimum wage increases, both prices and nominal spending rise modestly. These gains are larger for certain sub-categories of goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871810
This paper investigates the impact of credit rating changes on the sovereign spreads in the European Union and investigates the macro and financial factors that account for the time varying effects of a given credit rating change. We find that changes of ratings are informative, economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080412
. As such, these products clearly reflect the market's assessment of rare-event risk. We find that the model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981618
We show that financial sector bailouts and sovereign credit risk are intimately linked. A bailout benefits the economy …-way feedback between financial and sovereign credit risk using data on the credit default swaps (CDS) of the Eurozone countries for … effect of the quality of sovereign guarantees on bank credit risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123694
contracts involving counterparty risk and that they facilitate speculation involving negative views of a firm's financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150831