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Exchange Rate Flexibility and the Transmission of Business Cycles
Braga de Macedo, Jorge; Meerschwam, David - 2021
This paper presents a very simple model of the effects of flexible exchange rates in the transmission of business cycles. The starting point is the traditional "locomotive" effect, through exports and imports. Aside from this horizontal transmission, the intertemporal exchange rate model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232459
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Business Cycle Volatility and Openness : An Exploratory Cross-Section Analysis
Razin, Assaf; Rose, Andrew Kenan - 2022
This paper links business cycle volatility to barriers on international mobility of goods and capital. Theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074148
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News Shocks
Barsky, Robert - 2009
We implement a new approach for the identification of news shocks about future technology. In a VAR featuring a measure of aggregate technology and several forward-looking variables, we identify the news shock as the shock orthogonal to technology innovations that best explains future variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156463
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International Recessions
Perri, Fabrizio - 2011
The 2008-2009 crisis was characterized by an unprecedented degree of international synchronization as all major industrialized countries experienced large macroeconomic contractions around the date of Lehman bankruptcy. At the same time countries also experienced large and synchronized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122646
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Globally Correlated Nominal Fluctuations
Henriksen, Espen - 2009
Cyclical fluctuations in nominal variables--aggregate price levels and nominal interest rates--are documented to be substantially more synchronized across countries than cyclical fluctuations in real output. A transparent mechanism that can account for this striking feature of the nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158041
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World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation
Fernàndez, Andrés - 2016
intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979352
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International Trade and Business Cycles
Baxter, Marianne - 2021
together--there is a world component to business cycles. This paper argues that capital accumulation and international capital … flows are central to understanding world trade and business cycles. In particular, fluctuations in net exports and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237018
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Trade, Exchange Rate Regimes and Output Co-Movement : Evidence from the Great Depression
Mathy, Gabriel P. - 2011
A large body of cross-country empirical evidence identifies monetary policy and trade integration as key determinants of business cycle co-movement. Partially consistent with this, many argue that the re-emergence of the gold standard allowed for the global transmission of a deflationary shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127427
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Medium Term Business Cycles
Comin, Diego A. - 2011
Over the postwar, the U.S., Europe and Japan have experienced what may be thought of as medium frequency oscillations between persistent periods of robust growth and persistent periods of relative stagnation. These medium frequency movements, further, appear to bear some relation to the high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125764
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Business Cycles and the Asset Structure of Foreign Trade
Baxter, Marianne - 2010
International financial market linkages are widely believed to be important for the international transmission of business cycles, since these govern the extent to which individuals can smooth consumption in the presence of country-specific shocks to income. This paper develops a two-country,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763571