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We present a theory of choice among lotteries in which the decision maker's attention is drawn to (precisely defined … payoffs, our model provides a novel and unified account of many empirical phenomena, including frequent risk-seeking behavior … distinguish it from Prospect Theory, which we test. We also use the model to modify the standard asset pricing framework, and use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038557
Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known fundamental equilibrium. Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237591
I extend the classical general equilibrium treatment of uncertainty about exogenous states of nature to uncertainty about prices. Traders do not know the prices at which markets will clear but have expectations over possible prices. They trade price-contingent securities (derivatives) to insure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949397
Value at Risk has become the standard measure of market risk employed by financial institutions for both internal and … methodologies developed so far give satisfactory solutions. Interpreting Value at Risk as a quantile of future portfolio values … assumptions invoked by existing methodologies (such as normality or i.i.d. returns). The Conditional Value at Risk or CAViaR model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218406
in real exchange rate volatility increases the volatility of the trade balance if risk aversion is low but lowers it if … risk aversion is high. The opposite applies when supply shocks lead to counter-cyclical trade balances. We calibrate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218506
arrangements for shifting risk from workers to employers strengthens the case for accepting the hypothesis that incomplete … analysis shows that the introduction of risk-shifting arrangements into models of incomplete information eliminates the … analysis shows that the apparent fact that workers choose an amount of risk shifting that gives them constant nominal wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223089
As the U.S. population ages, the growing retiree-worker ratio increases the burden of public retirement systems. Is it efficient to maintain a defined benefit social security system? Should PAYGO benefits be reduced and private retirement savings be encouraged? The paper examines these questions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239349
between consumption losses in a disaster and the risk premium, a small amount of risk sharing can significantly attenuate the … effect that disaster risk has on the equity premium. We characterize the sensitivity of risk premium to wealth distribution … lead to significant variation in disaster risk premium. It also highlights the conditions under which disaster risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142936
While the traditional view of financial innovation emphasizes the risk sharing role of new financial assets, belief …. This paper investigates the effect of financial innovation on portfolio risks in an economy when both the risk sharing and … the possibilities for risk sharing. My main result shows that financial innovation also always increases the speculative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119601
Recent work in international finance suggests that the forward premium puzzle can be accounted for if (1) aggregate uncertainty is time-varying, and (2) countries have heterogeneous exposures to a world aggregate shock. We embed these features in a standard two-country real business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121723