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previously considered in existing quantitative macro studies of housing finance: aggregate business cycle risk, and a realistic …, the boom in house prices is entirely the result of a decline in the housing risk premium. Third, low interest rates cannot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038824
review indicates that the FHA will not need any form of government support. We identify four risk factors that make such a … accuracy of FHA risk assessment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039090
, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities---led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150910
treatments respond to flood risk. We identify reactions to flood risk, distinctly from price effects due to flood damage, by … seaboard. We find that homes in high flood risk zones situated in towns that participate in public flood awareness activities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867643
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017082
, borrowing (risk-sharing) declines, and the sensitivity of consumption to income increases. Our model aggregates heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239980
, China's stimulus boosted real GDP growth from an annualized 6.2% in the first quarter of 2009 trough to 11.9% in the first … speed and efficacy of China's stimulus derives from state control over its banking system and corporate sector. Beijing …, fueling a real estate bubble; and that China's seemingly highly effective macroeconomic stimulus package may well have induced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128599
High and rising prices in Chinese housing markets have attracted global attention, as well as the interest of the Chinese government and its regulators. Housing markets look very risky based on the stylized facts we document. Price-to-rent ratios in Beijing and seven other large markets across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141003
This paper uses the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in China as a natural experiment to examine how the housing market reacted … pattern is in line with a higher risk perception and fear, triggered after the tremor, of living in upper floors. Additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074649
Since the 1990s, China's real estate market has experienced a dramatic and long-lasting boom across China. This boom … into a gigantic housing bubble, which might eventually burst and damage China's financial system and economy. Motivated by … this concern, this paper reviews the historical development of China's real estate market, describes the real estate boom …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907440