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productivity risk is greater than the value of unemployment insurance which provides (partial) insurance against employment risk … frictions that allows us to distinguish between different sources of risk and to estimate their effects. The sources of risk are … variability due to shocks from variability due to the responses to these shocks. Estimates of productivity risk, once we control …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757525
This paper documents two COVID-related risks, viral risk and employment risk, and their distributions across the … Canadian population. The measurement of viral risk is based on the VSE COVID Risk/Reward Assessment Tool, created to assist … women are more concentrated in high viral risk occupations and that this is the source of their greater employment loss over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233872
In this paper we test for the existence of compensating differentials for unemployment risk in an era before … unemployment insurance. Using information gathered from manufacturing worker surveys conducted during the 1880s in New Jersey, we … find that workers who faced higher probabilities of predictable unemployment spells received a small compensating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234925
-financed unemployment insurance. The key element in the analysis is that unemployment insurance is more attractive than risk shifting as a … way for workers to obtain income during unemployment. The paper also analyses the effects of risk shifting and … analysis focuses on the interaction between contractual arrangements for shifting risk from workers to employers and tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214609
adjustment costs can cause a mean-preserving increase in unemployment risk to lead to increased consumption. The predictions of … risk as their unemployment shocks are more highly correlated. Such couples spend more on owner-occupied housing than other … usual relationship between risk and consumption. In particular, we present a model where the presence of plausible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755650
Analyses of public policy regularly express certitude about the consequences of alternative policy choices. Yet policy predictions often are fragile, with conclusions resting on critical unsupported assumptions. Then the certitude of policy analysis is not credible. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139903
We propose uncertainty shocks as a new shock that drives business cycles. First, we demonstrate that microeconomic uncertainty is robustly countercyclical, rising sharply during recessions, particularly during the Great Recession of 2007-2009. Second, we quantify the impact of time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065796
A significant source of risk arises from uncertainty concerning future government policy. Government action - - tax … preexisting rules. The effects of government relief - - compensation, grandfathering, phase-ins - - on ex ante incentives and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760199
We develop a new index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) based on newspaper coverage frequency. Several types of evidence – including human readings of 12,000 newspaper articles – indicate that our index proxies for movements in policy-related economic uncertainty. Our US index spikes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003270
Building on Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016), I construct a monthly index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU) from January 1997. The GEPU Index is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices for 16 countries that account for two-thirds of global output. Each national EPU index reflects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981099