. In this paper, we explore the consequences of improved prediction in decision-making. To do so, we adapt existing models … of decision-making under uncertainty to account for the process of determining payoffs. We label this process of … on whether the improvements in prediction enable automated decision-making. We discuss the implications of improved …

-optimal. Our analysis leverages the large-scale implementation of an AI-based decision support tool in a private Medicare exchange … consumers $1260 on average. The addition of AI-based decision support improves outcomes by $278 on average and substantially … decision support associated with a 21% reduction in call time for enrollment …

Innovation is often predicated on discovering useful new combinations of existing knowledge in highly complex knowledge …, and particle physics. We develop a combinatorial-based knowledge production function and embed it in the classic Jones …. This production function is a generalization (and reinterpretation) of the Romer/Jones knowledge production function …

This paper directs attention at the globalization of knowledge and knowledge creation as the fundamental global driver … of economic outcomes in today's information economy. It documents the globalization of knowledge and spread of scientific …; boosts labor standards; and influences incomes and inequality within and across countries. To the extent that knowledge is …

How large are spatial barriers to transferring knowledge? We analyze the international operations of multinational … firms to answer this fundamental question. In our model firms can transfer bits of knowledge to their foreign affiliates in … either embodied (traded intermediates) or disembodied form (direct communication). Knowledge transfer costs interact with the …

Commercializing knowledge involves transfer from discovering scientists to those who will develop it commercially. New … opportunities if high. Hence new knowledge remains naturally excludable and appropriable. Team production allows more knowledge … capture of tacit, complex discoveries by firm scientists. A robust indicator of a firm's tacit knowledge capture (and strong …

The rate of regional growth of new knowledge in the field of nanotechnology, as measured by counts of articles and … stocks of recorded knowledge in all scientific fields, and the extent to which tacit knowledge in all fields flows between … patenting. The data provide further support for the cumulative advantage model of knowledge production, and for ongoing efforts …

providing a particular set of tasks – prediction tasks. Prediction about uncertain states of the world is an input into decision … could also increase the variance of outcomes as well. We consider the role of human judgment in decision-making as … decisions to machines even when the decision would be superior with human input …