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an increase in the level and volatility of spot prices. We construct a large panel data set which includes commodities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948088
This paper examines the relationship between spot and futures prices for a broad range of commodities, including energy, precious and base metals, and agricultural commodities. In particular, we examine whether futures prices are (1) an unbiased and/or (2) accurate predictor of subsequent spot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146511
If commercial producers or financial investors use futures contracts to hedge against commodity price risk, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081835
This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for … domestic welfare through two channels. First, by reducing export income volatility and allowing for a smoother consumption path …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150436
We conduct a comprehensive analysis of unspanned stochastic volatility in commodity markets in general and the crude …-oil market in particular. We present model-free results that strongly suggest the presence of unspanned stochastic volatility in … stochastic volatility. The model features correlations between innovations to futures prices and volatility, quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778140
information from price changes in other markets. This provides a channel through which a quot;mistakequot; in one market can be … transmitted to other markets. Hourly stock price data from New York, Tokyo and London during an eight month period around the … with volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774536
a GARCH process for conditional volatility. Under such heteroskedasticity, OLS estimators or parameters in single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778851
Most affine models of the term structure with stochastic volatility (SV) predict that the variance of the short rate is …;unspanned stochastic volatility (USV).quot; Of the models tested, only the A1(4) USV model is found to generate both realistic volatility … estimates and a good cross-sectional fit. Our findings suggests that interest rate volatility cannot be extracted from the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783833
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively … correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level … empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783965
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784980