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-section of bond prices. Separately, we propose an alternative to the canonical representation of affine models introduced by Dai … available, and (v) it isolates those parameters which are not identifiable from bond prices alone if the model is specified to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783833
This paper uses the factor augmented regression framework to analyze the relation between bond excess returns and the … statistically significant predictive power for excess bond returns. We show how a bias correction to the parameter estimates of … real activity for excess bond returns is robust even after accounting for finite sample inference problems. Forecasts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152009
Price-based liquidity metrics are better in 2013-2014 for small trades and large high-yield bond trades, but not for … large investment grade bond trades, relative to before the crisis, and are better for all bond types and trade sizes …-crisis liquidity could be low when markets are stressed. We consider three stress events: extreme VIX increases, extreme bond yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958984
changed from positive to negative. A change in the comovement between inflation and the output gap explains changing bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054872
We analyze reallocations within the international bond portfolios of US investors. The most striking empirical … economic growth. We also provide a descriptive analysis of global bond markets' structure and returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045646
We analyze the effect of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy on EME sovereign and corporate bond markets by … focusing on two dimensions: the evolution of the structure (size and currency composition) of the bond markets and their … allocations within the bond portfolios of US investors. Global factors, particularly the level of long-term US Treasury yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950839
We propose a novel measure of bond market liquidity that does not depend on transaction data: the strength of the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404994
The popular Nelson-Siegel (1987) yield curve is routinely fit to cross sections of intra-country bond yields, and …-specific factors. In an empirical analysis of term structures of government bond yields for the Germany, Japan, the U.K. and the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759705
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows, namely, U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994905
Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium, which measures the markets … when nominal bond risk premia are low and declining, are associated with lower future dividend growth rates on value minus … growth and with lower future output growth in the short term. Because of this new nexus between stock and bond returns, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148389