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The conventional wisdom is (i) that fiscal austerity was the main culprit for the recessions experienced by many … right thing implementing fiscal austerity at the time they did, that is 2009-13. Finally we examine whether this round of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030627
As of August 2015, Greece's loan repayments due to external creditors through 2057 summed to €319.5 billion, requiring … sufficient to increase Greece's primary balance by one percent of 2014 GDP – roughly a quarter of Greece's total debt obligations … overestimate the amount of actual revenue that Greece would raise due to the endogenous adjustment of capital and labor. Meeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012694
decline in Greece's output, especially investment, is deeper and more persistent than in almost any crisis on record over that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988078
between budget cuts and health outcomes. Health spending and inputs were very high in Greece before the crisis: in several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912530
The conventional wisdom regarding the political consequences of large reductions of budget deficits is that they are very costly for the governments which implement them: they are punished by voters at the following elections. In the present paper, instead, we find no evidence that governments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117557
As governments around the world contemplate slashing budget deficits, the "expansionary fiscal consolidation hypothesis" is back in vogue. I argue that, as a statement about the short run, it should be taken with caution. I present four detailed case studies, two - Denmark and Ireland -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118837
This paper deals with several issues regarding the causes and implications of recent and projected U.S. federal budget deficits. It considers why deficits have remained so large in spite of deficit reduction efforts, evaluates the impact of the recent policies of the Clinton administration, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125133
We examine austerity in advanced economies since the Great Recession. Austerity shocks are reductions in government … purchases that exceed reduced-form forecasts. Austerity shocks are statistically associated with lower real GDP, lower inflation … advanced economies generates a multiplier consistent with the data. Counterfactuals suggest that eliminating austerity would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963180
generously on transfers and keeps the inequality low. In the second regime, it implements austerity-like policies by cutting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999981
Recurrent concerns over debt sustainability in emerging and developed nations have prompted renewed debate on the role of fiscal rules. Their optimality, however, remains unclear. We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of sovereign debt accumulation and default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957369