for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i …

inflation. In the 2000s, and at least until the end of 2007, even larger increases in the price of oil were associated with much … milder movements in output and inflation. Using a structural VAR approach Blanchard and Gali (2007a) argued that this has … reflected in large part a change in the causal relation from the price of oil to output and inflation. In order to shed light on …

Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the … crisis in the early 1980s. We show that the high-inflation period (1960–1994) was characterized by a combination of fiscal … deficits, passive monetary policy, and constraints on debt financing. The transition to the low-inflation period (1995 …

This paper evaluates the Swedish Riksbank's Inflation Reports' and draws comparisons among the Reports issued by the … about each of the three central banks' Inflation Reports'. It assesses the credibility of inflation forecasts, evaluates the …

, we focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its interaction … aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation decline that was … unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive, consistent with an …

standard New-Keynesian model, and may even inflate the equity premium. Second, asset-price movements improve the inflation …-output trade-off so that average output can rise without increasing much average inflation. Finally, a strict inflation …-targeting policy may result in lower average welfare than a more flexible inflation-targeting policy, which instead increases the …