We study the role of global supply chains in the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on GDP growth for 64 countries. We …, "renationalization" of global supply chains does not in general make countries more resilient to pandemic-induced contractions in labor … lockdowns. In fact, trade can insulate a country imposing a stringent lockdown from the pandemic-shock, as its foreign inputs …

We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth … during a pandemic. Valuations would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …

the distribution of UI benefits after the uniform $600 Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC) supplement …

path during such outbreaks. When the epidemic is more infectious and fatal, the Bayesian-optimal sample size in the … and the regulatory approval process to the specific parameters and stage of the epidemic …

There is growing concern that the COVID-19 pandemic may have severe, adverse effects on the health care sector, a … sector of the economy that historically has been somewhat shielded from the business cycle. In this paper, we study one … aspect of this issue by estimating the magnitude of the COVID-19 pandemic on use of outpatient health services. We use 2010 …