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volatility. The news component of volatility is not positively autocorrelated on these dates, since the news is released at a … these announcement dates, and (2) the persistence pattern of daily volatility is quite different around these days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774981
financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run … significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776940
Stock return volatility during the Great Depression has been labeled a “volatility puzzle” because the standard …, and Jones; 1990). We investigate the “volatility puzzle” using a new series of building permits, a forward-looking measure … of economic activity. Our results suggest that the volatility of building permit growth largely explains the high level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953001
The U.S. economy is characterized by large, longer term regime shifts in asset values relative to macroeconomic fundamentals. These movements coincide with shifts in the real federal funds rate in excess of a measure of the natural rate of interest, and in equity market return premia. We specify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984111
relation has roots in fundamentals as higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility and as firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985580
We document that the recent decline in aggregate volatility has been accompanied by a large increase in firm level risk … countries. Firm volatility increases after deregulation. Firm volatility is linked to research and development spending as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102061
Momentum strategies exhibit rare but dramatic losses (crashes), which we show are a result of the leverage dynamics of stocks in the momentum portfolio. When the economy is in a hidden turbulent state associated with a depressed and volatile stock market, the short-side of the momentum portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104735
We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106078
stock price reaction to news, and hence lowering the stock return volatility. Thus, in addition to uncertainty about … fundamentals, uncertainty about CEO quality is also a source of stock return volatility, which decreases over a CEO's tenure as the …'s prospects. Overall, uncertainty about management quality appears to be an important source of stock return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085131
prices responded strongly to boat arrivals, but there was considerable volatility in the absence of news. The evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086300