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Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data
Ossa, Ralph - 2011
How large are optimal tariffs? What tariffs would prevail in a worldwide trade war? How costly would be a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation? And what is the scope for future multilateral trade negotiations? I address these and other questions using a unified framework which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121039
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Trade Wars and Trade Talks
Grossman, Gene M.; Helpman, Elhanan - 2021
Whether governments clash in trade disputes or negotiate over trade agreements, their actions in the international arena reflect political conditions back home. Previous studies of cooperative and noncooperative trade relations have focused on governments that are immune from political pressures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240527
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Rising Policy Uncertainty
Davis, Steven J. - 2019
market volatility since March 2018, when U.S.-China tensions began to escalate. Lastly, I offer remarks on the interplay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863256
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Gains and Losses from Potential Bilateral Us-China Trade Retaliation
Dong, Yan - 2011
of US-China bilateral retaliation on trade flows and welfare. One is a conventional Armington trade model with five … regions, the US, China, EU, Japan and Rest of the World, and calibrated to a global 2009 micro consistent data set. The other … is a modified version of this model with monetary non neutrals and including China's trade surplus as an endogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120993
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The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment
Amiti, Mary; Kong, Sang Hoon; Weinstein, David E. - 2022
market data. By estimating the effect of U.S.-China tariff announcements on aggregate returns and the differential returns of … firms exposed to China, we identify their effect on treated and untreated firms. We show theoretically and empirically that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307379
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Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?
Blanchard, Emily J. - 2019
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859688
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Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War
Benguria, Felipe; Choi, Jaerim; Swenson, Deborah; Xu, … - 2022
The unexpected outbreak of the U.S.-China trade war led to dramatic increases in the import and export tariffs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292579
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The Consumption Response to Trade Shocks : Evidence from the Us-China Trade War
Waugh, Michael - 2022
This paper provides evidence on the consumption effects of trade shocks by exploiting changes in US and Chinese trade policy between 2017 and 2018. The analysis uses a unique data set with the universe of new auto sales at the US county level, at a monthly frequency, and a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103831
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Some Simple Analytics of Trade and Labor Mobility
Chaudhuri, Shubham - 2007
We study a simple, tractable model of labor adjustment in a trade model that allows us to analyze the economy's dynamic response to trade liberalization. Since it is a neoclassical market-clearing model, we can use duality techniques to study the equilibrium, and despite its simplicity a rich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775867
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Trade Blocs and Trade Wars During the Interwar Period
Jacks, David S. - 2019
China- and US-centric trade blocs.Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870722