supply. The average GDP drop would have been - 30:2% in a world without trade in inputs and final goods. This is because …

We develop a model of human interaction to analyze the relationship between globalization and pandemics. Our framework …

since 1995. The paper draws on a variety of data sources but most heavily on the recent World Input-Output Database. China …

This paper provides a critical review of models of the spread of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic that have been …

epidemic diseases raised in their quarterly earnings conference calls. We construct text-based measures of the costs, benefits …, and risks listed firms in the US and over 80 other countries associate with the spread of Covid-19 and other epidemic … diseases. We identify which firms and sectors expect to lose/gain from a given epidemic and which are most affected by the …

outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 48 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 40 million, 2 ….1 percent of world population, implying 150 million deaths when applied to current population. Regressions with annual …

zero or below everywhere in the world. Third: the cross section standard deviation of growth rates of daily deaths across … locations fell very rapidly in the first 10 days of the epidemic and has remained at a relatively low level since then. Fourth … levels and the effective reproduction number has hovered around one after the first 30 days of the epidemic virtually …