Showing 1 - 10 of 259
Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae … different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of … how accurately the CPI informs us about "true" inflation. We use the largest price and quantity dataset ever employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969400
The great contraction of 2008 pushed the U.S. economy into a protracted liquidity trap (i.e., a long period with zero nominal interest rates and inflationary expectations below target). In addition, the recovery was jobless (i.e., output growth recovered but unemployment lingered). This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969402
of this margin of adjustment for the response of inflation to shocks. Across a range of empirical exercises, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969424
What drives countercyclical volatility? A large literature has documented that many economic variables are more disperse in recessions, but this could either occur because shocks get bigger or because firms respond more to shocks which are the same size. Existing evidence that the dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950688
shortening the duration of the crisis and a binding zero bound. Inflation should be front loaded. Fiscal-policy multipliers can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950697
for output growth and inflation from 1992 to 2011. We find strong evidence of time variation in the pool's weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950792
We explore the importance of the nature of nominal price and wage adjustment for the design of effective monetary policy strategies, especially at the zero lower bound. Our analysis suggests that sticky-price and sticky-information models fit standard macroeconomic time series comparably well....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950908
We propose an overlapping generations New Keynesian model in which a permanent (or very persistent) slump is possible without any self-correcting force to full employment. The trigger for the slump is a deleveraging shock, which creates an oversupply of savings. Other forces that work in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950933
and the inflation rate without error, then it is typically optimal to respond infinitely strongly to observed deviations … from the central bank's targets. If it observes inflation and the output gap with error, the central bank will temper its … terms of estimated output and inflation then it is optimal to respond infinitely strongly to estimated deviations from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951201
inflation rates account for a share of the PPP changes, although less so for the 2011 revisions than prior ICP rounds. A marked … higher prices. The drift is concentrated in the Asia regional groupings used for ICP implementation. The results are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951231