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We quantify the fiscal multipliers in response to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. We extend the benchmark Smets-Wouters (2007) New Keynesian model, allowing for credit-constrained households, the zero lower bound, government capital and distortionary taxation. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652842
This paper examines the impact of macroeconomic and financial sector policy announcements in the United States, the United Kingdom, the euro area, and Japan during the recent crisis on interbank credit and liquidity risk premia. Announcements of interest rate cuts, liquidity support, liability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631687
current and future inflation innovations to revalue government debt, reducing reliance on distorting taxes; (2) the role of … inflation in optimal fiscal financing increases with the average maturity of government debt; (3) as average maturity rises, it … is optimal to tradeoff inflation for output stabilization; (4) inflation is relatively more important as a fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010717782
inflation to the forefront of policy concerns. Those concerns will only grow as aging populations increase demands on government …, through which fiscal deficits directly affect inflation. The paper describes various ways in which fiscal policy can directly … affect inflation and explains why these fiscal effects are difficult to detect in time series data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654186
policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839461
appreciable risk of default or higher inflation. But governments in advanced economies issue substantial nominal debt and nominal … devalued through higher current and future inflation rates. The paper develops a simple bond market supply-demand apparatus to … explain how fiscal policy can be a source of inflation, while monetary policy merely determines the timing of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821921
taxation, modest inflation, and some reneging on the government's promised transfers. In the equilibrium, inflation …-targeting monetary policy cannot successfully anchor expected inflation. Expectational effects are always present, but need not have … large impacts on inflation and interest rates in the short and medium runs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008601671
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized empirically accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy during the zero-lower-bound period. Announcing fiscal austerity is detrimental in the short run, but it preserves macroeconomic stability. On the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269066
focuses solely on stabilizing nominal wage inflation. Furthermore, this simple wage stabilization rule is remarkably robust to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005050058
because exchange rate changes have a very rapid impact on prices; the role of inflation and interest rate expectations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829113