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. In these and many other cases, radical trade liberalization measures were put in place, or existing programs speeded up … when trade liberalization is implemented simultaneously with stabilization policies is weaker than is usually presupposed … between trade liberalization and exchange-rate stability. However, the credibility of disinflation may be endangered by early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005830908
This paper discusses what recent economic research tells us about exchange rate pass-through and what this suggests for the control of monetary policy. It first focuses on exchange rate pass-through from a macroeconomic perspective and then examines the microeconomic evidence. In light of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828421
The standard model of signaling used in open economy macroeconomics concentrates on building a reputation when a policymaker's `type' is unknown. Observing tough policy leads market participants to raise the probability that a policymaker is tough, and therefore to expect tough policy in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828537
1930s. We argue that the culprit behind this Great Depression was the collapse of Finnish trade with the Soviet Union … of Soviet-Finnish trade can explain key features of Finland's Great Depression. We also show that Finland's Great … similar trade collapse. However, as a western democracy with developed capital markets and institutions, Finland faced none of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828695
trade, monetary autonomy, and growth. First we demonstrate that, while pegs frequently break, many do last and those that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828797
This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985-2001 period. We estimate cointegrating relationships between the real exchange rate, productivity, and the real price of oil using the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828814
We develop a methodology that intuitively characterizes the choices countries have made with respect to the trilemma during the post Bretton-Woods period. The paper first outlines the new metrics for measuring the degree of exchange rate flexibility, monetary independence, and capital account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828848
We offer an alternative explanation for the fall of Argentina's Convertibility Program based on the country's vulnerability to Sudden Stops in capital flows. Sudden Stops are typically accompanied by a substantial increase in the real exchange rate that breaks havoc in countries that are heavily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828864
Based on a sample of 56 countries, we find that while fiscal policy in the G-7 countries appears to be broadly consistent with Barro's tax smoothing proposition, in developing countries government spending and taxes are highly procyclical (i.e., government spending rises and taxes fall during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829153
We propose an exchange rate model which is a hybrid of the conventional specification with monetary fundamentals and the Evans-Lyons microstructure approach. It argues that the failure of the monetary model is principally due to private preference shocks which render the demand for money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829342