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and the inflation rate without error, then it is typically optimal to respond infinitely strongly to observed deviations … from the central bank's targets. If it observes inflation and the output gap with error, the central bank will temper its … terms of estimated output and inflation then it is optimal to respond infinitely strongly to estimated deviations from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951201
interest on reserves. While their effects on output and inflation are small, these policies require major adjustments in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262796
Paul Krugman's essay "Who Was Milton Friedman?" seriously mischaracterizes Friedman's economics and his legacy. In this paper we provide a rejoinder to Krugman on these issues. In the course of setting the record straight, we provide a self-contained guide to Milton Friedman's impact on modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085208
appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but inflation dropped only when fiscal policy … accommodated this change two years later. In fact, a disinflationary attempt of the monetary authority leads to more inflation if … been confident about the switch, the Great Inflation would not have occurred and debt would have been higher. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011234892
If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the … target, the long-run Phillips curve becomes non-vertical. During 1997-2011, average inflation expectations in Sweden have … been close to the inflation target of 2 percent, whereas average inflation has fallen short of the target by 0.6 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011234893
. Specifically, we estimate a series of simple models to measure the impact of inflation targeting on the dispersion of private … sector forecasts of inflation. Using a panel data set that includes 15 countries over 20 years we find no convincing evidence … that adopting an inflation targeting regime leads to a reduction in the dispersion of private sector forecasts of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631102
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the … inflation rate had already exceeded 10% before the onset of the oil crisis in October 1973. These decisions include the interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008634709
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635937
In this paper, we review Otmar Issing's career as the ECB's inaugural chief economist and we document many notable successes. We try to infer some general principles that contributed to these successes and draw some lessons. In doing so, we review the evidence using Woodford%u2019s (2003) recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710386
The new-Keynesian, Taylor-rule theory of inflation determination relies on explosive dynamics. By raising interest … rates in response to inflation, the Fed induces ever-larger inflation or deflation, unless inflation jumps to one particular … following policies we usually consider impossible. Therefore, inflation is just as indeterminate under "active" interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710505