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Did Improvements in Household Technology Cause the Baby Boom? Evidence from Electrification, Appliance Diffusion, and the Amish

Bailey, Martha J.; Collins, William J. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2009

advancements in household technology from 1940 to 1960 account for this large increase in fertility. We present new empirical … evidence that is inconsistent with this claim. Rapid advances in household technology began long before 1940 while fertility … fertility rates from 1940 to 1960; and the correlation between children ever born (measured at ages 41 to 60) and access to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005718609

The US Productivity Slowdown, the Baby Boom, and Management Quality

Feyrer, James - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2009

This paper examines whether management changes caused by the entry of the baby boom into the workforce explain the US productivity slowdown in the 1970s and resurgence in the 1990s. Lucas (1978) suggests that the quality of managers plays a significant role in determining output. If there is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008634655

Democracy and Development: The Devil in the Details

Persson, Torsten; Tabellini, Guido - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2006

Does democracy promote economic development? We review recent attempts to address this question, which exploit the within-country variation associated with historical transitions in and out of democracy. The answer is positive, but depends %u2013 in a subtle way %u2013 on the details of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030921

The Contribution of Schooling in Development Accounting: Results from a Nonparametric Upper Bound

Caselli, Francesco; Ciccone, Antonio - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011

How much would output increase if underdeveloped economies were to increase their levels of schooling? We contribute to the development accounting literature by describing a non-parametric upper bound on the increase in output that can be generated by more schooling. The advantage of our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652860

Differential Fertility, Human Capital, and Development

Vogl, Tom - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013

Using micro-data from 48 developing countries, I document a recent reversal in the income-fertility relationship and … century's end, both patterns had reversed. Consequently, income differentials in fertility historically raised average …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951054

The Long Term Consequences of Famine on Survivors: Evidence from a Unique Natural Experiment using China's Great Famine

Meng, Xin; Qian, Nancy - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2009

This paper estimates the long run impact of famine on survivors in the context of China's Great Famine. To address problems of measurement error of famine exposure and potential endogeneity of famine intensity, we exploit a novel source of variation in regional intensity of famine derived from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991268

A Dual Policy Paradox: Why Have Trade and Immigration Policies Always Differed in Labor-Scarce Economies

Williamson, Jeffrey Gale; Hatton, Timothy J. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2005

Today's labor-scarce economies have open trade and closed immigration policies, while a century ago they had just the opposite, open immigration and closed trade policies. Why the inverse policy correlation, and why has it persisted for almost two centuries? This paper seeks answers to this dual...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087443

Has Social Security Influenced Family Formation and Fertility in OECD Countries? An Economic and Econometric Analysis

Ehrlich, Isaac; Kim, Jinyoung - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2007

There is growing concern about a decline in the total fertility rate worldwide, but nowhere is the concern greater than … generate incentives for individuals to reduce not just the fertility rate within families, but also the incentive to form … fertility rates. Our results show that the impact of social security on these variables has been non-trivial. Our calibrated …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005777761

Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia

Bloom, David; Williamson, Jeffrey Gale - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 1997

The demographic transition a change from high to low rates of mortality and fertility has been more dramatic in East …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005778032

The Evolution of Income and Fertility Inequalities over the Course of Economic Development: A Human Capital Perspective

Ehrlich, Isaac; Kim, Jinyoung - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2004

dynamic evolution of income and fertility distributions and their interdependencies over three endogenous phases of economic … development. In our model, heterogeneous families determine fertility and children's human capital, and generations are linked via … inequalities in fertility, educational attainments, and three endogenous income inequality measures -- family-income inequality …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005778584