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massive bubble in agricultural futures prices at various times in recent years. This paper analyzes the market impact of … financial index investment in agricultural futures markets using non-public data from the Large Trader Reporting System (LTRS …) maintained by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The LTRS data are superior to publicly-available data because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969324
obtained without negative consequences in the model's fit to futures prices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950668
stock options. We develop an empirical estimate of ambiguity and include it in regression models alongside the more … option exercises, with volatility causing executives to hold their options longer in order to preserve remaining option value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950897
Many financial instruments are designed with embedded leverage such as options and leveraged exchange traded funds …-embedded-leverage securities and short high-embedded-leverage securities earns large abnormal returns, with t-statistics of 8.6 for equity options …, 6.3 for index options, and 2.5 for ETFs. We provide extensive robustness tests and discuss the broader implications of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951107
Stocks with large increases in call implied volatilities over the previous month tend to have high future returns while stocks with large increases in put implied volatilities over the previous month tend to have low future returns. Sorting stocks ranked into decile portfolios by past call...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951430
the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the … index options we extend the popular double-jump stochastic volatility model to allow for time-varying jump risk premia and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271459
We document that the implied volatility skew of S&P 500 index puts is non-decreasing in the disaster index and risk-neutral variance, contrary to the implications of a broad class of no-arbitrage models. The key to the puzzle lies in recognizing that, as the disaster risk increases, customers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276422
Financial markets have become increasingly global in recent decades, yet the pricing of internationally traded assets continues to depend strongly upon local risk factors, leading to several observations that are difficult to explain with standard frameworks. Equity returns depend upon both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228888
options and tranche spreads on the five-year CDX index. We demonstrate the importance of calibrating the model to match the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008601669
We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. In addition, we find that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710641