long-horizon aggregate employment growth. Consistent with this logic, we document that long-horizon payroll growth and … change in unemployment rate are predictable with risk premium proxies. Lagged payroll growth and change in unemployment rate …

larger effects. H-1Bs substantially crowd out employment of other workers. We find some evidence that additional H-1Bs lead …

In this paper I explore optimal employment contract design in a random search framework, where workers search on and … off the job for employment opportunities similar to that of Lentz (2010) and Bagger and Lentz (2013). The worker … determines the frequency by which employment opportunities arrive through a costly choice of search intensity, which is …

to cyclical changes in middle-skill employment? We find that middle-skill occupations have traditionally been more …. Unemployed middle-skill workers also appear to have few attractive or feasible employment alternatives outside of their skill … middle-skill employment fluctuations should include industry-level employment effects and a labor force participation margin …

affiliated scientists (full-time employment in a firm) and linked scientists (part-time employment), with all variables that are …

hiring workers and providing more detailed evaluations substantially improved workers' subsequent employment outcomes. Under …

short-term employment contracts are converted to long-term contracts at their termination; (7) most worker flows are … procyclical; (8) employment adjustment occurs primarily through changes in the entry rates (often of short-term contract workers … about three times the size of net employment changes inside the job category. …