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interest on reserves. While their effects on output and inflation are small, these policies require major adjustments in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262796
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089295
interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005580496
The Shadow Open Market Committee was formed in 1973 in response to rising inflation and the apparent unwillingness of U … favored by the Shadow would have lowered inflation with less impact on output growth and less variability in inflation or … outperformed the policies actually implemented by the Federal Reserve during the Great Inflation era. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876847
. Key to our estimation strategy is the use of survey-based expectations for inflation and output. We identify accommodating … shocks shift to the low volatility regime around 1985 whereas inflation shocks do so only around 1990, suggesting active … monetary policy may have played role in anchoring inflation expectations. Shocks and policy regimes jointly drive the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025241
and the inflation rate without error, then it is typically optimal to respond infinitely strongly to observed deviations … from the central bank's targets. If it observes inflation and the output gap with error, the central bank will temper its … terms of estimated output and inflation then it is optimal to respond infinitely strongly to estimated deviations from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951201
If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the … target, the long-run Phillips curve becomes non-vertical. During 1997-2011, average inflation expectations in Sweden have … been close to the inflation target of 2 percent, whereas average inflation has fallen short of the target by 0.6 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011234893
. Specifically, we estimate a series of simple models to measure the impact of inflation targeting on the dispersion of private … sector forecasts of inflation. Using a panel data set that includes 15 countries over 20 years we find no convincing evidence … that adopting an inflation targeting regime leads to a reduction in the dispersion of private sector forecasts of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631102
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635937
In this paper, we review Otmar Issing's career as the ECB's inaugural chief economist and we document many notable successes. We try to infer some general principles that contributed to these successes and draw some lessons. In doing so, we review the evidence using Woodford%u2019s (2003) recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710386