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Macroeconomics has not done well in recent years: The standard models didn't predict the Great Recession; and even said it couldn't happen. After the bubble burst, the models did not predict the full consequences. The paper traces the failures to the attempts, beginning in the 1970s, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951037
construct an alternative business-cycle model capturing these two features by adding two assumptions to a money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951069
This paper is part of a broader project that provides a microfoundation to the General Theory of J.M. Keynes. I call this project 'old Keynesian economics' to distinguish it from new-Keynesian economics, a theory that is based on the idea that to make sense of Keynes we must assume that prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084591
Every year has large demand and supply shifts associated with the seasons, regardless of the phase of the business cycle. Based on measures dating back to the 1940s, the seasonal shifts reject the hypotheses that demand shifts affect employment outcomes significantly more in recession years than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565077
This paper develops a rational expectations model with multiple equilibrium unemployment rates where the price of … a permanent reduction in wealth and consumption and a permanent increase in the unemployment rate. My work suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147529
This paper develops a model of unemployment fluctuations. The model keeps the architecture of the general-disequilibrium … affects unemployment: with a higher aggregate demand, firms find more customers; this reduces the idle time of their employees … disequilibrium approach. On the product and labor markets, both price and tightness adjust to equalize supply and demand. Since there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144242
one of the most important ideas to emerge from Keynes' (1936) General Theory; that high involuntary unemployment can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950764
research project on Money and Business Cycles started in the 1950s. The project resulted in three more books and many important … articles. A Monetary History was designed to provide historical evidence for the modern quantity theory of money. The principal … lessons of the modern quantity theory of the long-run neutrality of money, the transitory effects of monetary policy on real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950905
. A model of efficient barter and local inside money is developed to show how chronic specie scarcity in colonial America …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271405
We highlight the elements of the operation of the U.S. Exchange Stabilization Fund that Harry Dexter White, who directed the Treasury's division of monetary research, transferred to his plan for the operation of the International Monetary Fund. The elements included the principle that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005720526