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This paper shows how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow have a quantitatively important effect on real variables like output, consumption, investment, and hours worked. To motivate our investigation, we document the strong evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248956
This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups -- industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005777599
Factor-Augmented VAR on a large set of US and international data series. We find that the role of international factors in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005050455
We provide explicit solutions for government spending multipliers during a liquidity trap and within a fixed exchange regime using standard closed and open-economy models. We confirm the potential for large multipliers during liquidity traps. For a currency union, we show that self-financed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969259
that stabilize the real exchange rate more than PPI targeting, such as targeting expected inflation, deliver higher welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969401
Developing countries have typically pursued procyclical macroeconomic policies, which tend to amplify the underlying business cycle (the "when-it-rains-it-pours" phenomenon). There is, however, evidence to suggest that about a third of developing countries have shifted from procyclical to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950700
Based on a novel quarterly dataset for 52 countries for the period 1970-2011, we analyze the use and cyclical properties of reserve requirements (RR) as a macroeconomic stabilization tool and whether RR policy substitutes or complements monetary policy. We find that (i) around two thirds of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951132
Colonial Americans complained that gold and silver coins (specie) were chronically scarce. These coins could be acquired only through importation. Given unrestricted trade in specie, market arbitrage should have eliminated chronic scarcity. A model of efficient barter and local inside money is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271405
inflation in recent years just do not hold up. Globalization does, however, have the potential to be stabilizing for individual … the sensitivity of inflation to domestic output gaps and thus to domestic monetary policy? No. (2) Are foreign output gaps … playing a more prominent role in the domestic inflation process, so that domestic monetary policy has more difficulty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084437
Based on a sample of 104 countries, we document four key stylized facts regarding the interaction between capital flows, fiscal policy, and monetary policy. First, net capital inflows are procyclical (i.e., external borrowing increases in good times and falls in bad times) in most OECD and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084770